Friday, November 20, 2009

Paul surprises in poll against Obama

Public Policy Polling releases its monthly poll (pdf) pitting Barack Obama against prospective Republican challengers in a 2012 matchup.

This time, they substituted Ron Paul for last month's fourth candidate, Tim Pawlenty.

And that turns out to be the big news from this poll.

Results:

1. Barack Obama 49% Mike Huckabee 44%

2. Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 43%

3. Barack Obama 51% Sarah Palin 43%

4. Barack Obama 46% Ron Paul 38%

Favorability Numbers:

a. Mike Huckabee 36%/37%, -1%

b. Sarah Palin 40%/49%, -9%

c. Mitt Romney 30%/39%, -9%

d. Ron Paul 23%/34%, -12%

Notes: Ron Paul is only 8% behind Barack Obama. Is anyone else surprised by this number? Especially considering this.

He is more well liked by Democrats (18%) than his fellow Republicans who sport 13-14% favorability numbers with the opposing party. At the same time he is easily the least popular within his own party, as 25% of Republican voters have an unfavorable opinion of him to 11-19% for the other three.

Is an Anybody But Obama theme starting to take hold?