A new Public Policy Polling survey shows Michele Bachmann tying Sarah Palin in a Florida 2012 primary.
1. Mitt Romney 27%
2. Sarah Palin and Michele Bachmann 17%
4. Herman Cain 10%
5. Newt Gingrich 8%
6. Ron Paul 7%
7. Tim Pawlenty 4%
8. Jon Huntsman 2%
Favorable Ratings:
a. Sarah Palin 67%27% for +40%.
b. Paul Ryan 49%/10% for +39%.
c. Rudy Giuliani 60%/22% for +38%.
d. Chris Christie 49%/12% for +37%.
e. Michele Bachmann 58%/22% for +36%.
f. Herman Cain 48%/19% for +29%.
g. Mitt Romney 56%/30% for +26%.
h. Rick Perry 38%/12% for +26%.
One interesting number is the Hispanic vote, which is more pronounced in a Florida GOP primary than in many other states.
Bachmann is the winner with 27%.
Another key number is the 65+ crowd. Romney does unusually well there, leading by 13%. The younger you get, the more Floridians prefer Bachmann. She beats Romney by a solid 7% among 30-45 year olds.
Overall, Bachmann has jumped 10% since March, while Gingrich has fallen 10%.
Still, pollster Tom Jensen notes:
Romney now has the outright lead in PPP's most recent polls in all 5 of the key early Republican contests: in addition to the Florida advantage he's up by 9 in South Carolina, 6 in Iowa, 15 in Nevada, and 23 in New Hampshire.
