President Barack Obama is likely to be defeated in 2012. The reason is that he faces four serious threats. The economy is very weak and unlikely to experience a robust recovery by Election Day. Key voter groups have soured on him. He's defending unpopular policies. And he's made bad strategic decisions
It is, indeed, strange that Obama is considered a big favorite to win reelection, partly because of this GOP field's alleged weakness.
What's worse baggage?
RomneyCare or 9.1% unemployment?
Pawlenty's dullness or Libya?
Bachmann's screw-up on Revolutionary War history or an overwhelming majority of Americans feeling the country is on the wrong track?
And you could go on. That's admittedly simplified, but the point remains -- Obama has more tangible baggage than any major '12 contender.
Why the written (and often unwritten assumption) that he's a major leaguer running against a bunch of minor leaguers?
