Monday, December 12, 2011

Trump: My debate is defining the race

On Fox News this morning, Donald Trump offered a theory on why Mitt Romney has been stumbling and Newt Gingrich surging -- one accepted the offer of participating in a Trump-moderated debate; the other didn't.

"His [Romney's] numbers have gone down very substantially since he said 'no', and a lot people think it's because it showed a lack of decisiveness or a lack of courage in going into this debate.

And you look at what happened with Newt. Newt has gone up like a rocket ship."

This is wrong on so many levels.

Most conspicuously, the debate was announced on December 2. Three days before that, Rasmussen had Newt leading, nationally, by 21%, CNN had him winning South Carolina by 23%, and ABC had him leading in Iowa by 15%.