A new Quinnipiac University poll shows a close race in Florida -- with a big divide emerging between voters before and after South Carolina.
Three days of polling BEFORE South Carolina:
1. Mitt Romney 37%
2. Newt Gingrich 26%
3. Rick Santorum and Ron Paul 15%
Two days of polling AFTER South Carolina:
1. Newt Gingrich 40% (Corrected).
2. Mitt Romney 34%
3. Rick Santorum 13%
4. Ron Paul 10%
A few more stats.
a. Gender gap.
It persists. Women like Romney by 7%; men like Newt by 4%.
b. Evangelicals like Newt.
He currently downs Mitt by 21% there.
c. Tea party goes Newt.
He tops Romney by 15%; Romney beats him by 12% among non-tea partiers.
d. Education gap.
Those with a college degree back Romney by 9%. Those without a degree go for Newt by 3%.
e. Income.
The most interesting result, by far. Romney leads Newt by 5% among those making $30K or less and those making $30K-$50K. In other words, the poorer set goes Romney.
Gingrich rocks the house with those making $50K-$100K, beating Romney by 10%.
Meanwhile, Romney retakes the lead with the $100K+ group, beating Newt by 8%.
So, at least in the Republican primary, the "out-of-touch" Romney is faring just fine with the poor (must be that laundry photo...)
f. Fav Ratings.
Romney is strong at +52% among Republicans, while Newt is at a less illustrious, +35%.
That's a pretty nice gap for Mitt.
g. Foreign policy.
Gingrich knocks Romney around by 27% on this one.
h. Dealing with a crisis.
If the Yankees win a World Series, voters think Newt would do a better job managing the crisis by 15% over Mitt.
i. Experience and knowledge to be president.
Once again, Gingrich bests Romney by 19%.
j. Strong leader.
Republicans give Newt a 6% advantage on Romney.
k. Sharing values.
Here, Romney is tied with Santorum and leads Gingrich by 9%. I'm assuming this is the moral characteristic test and no, Newt, it looks like your sins don't make you more relatable.
l. Caring about your problems.
Once again, the out-of-touch Mitt ties Gingrich and has a pretty good showing.
m. Competent.
Gingrich beats Romney by 3% on this question.
n. Being inspiring.
Newt leads Romney by 10% -- a number that I actually thought might be higher, considering their rhetorical styles (Newt, as I've said, is a Romantic painter; Romney draws the art on U-Hauls).
o. Trustworthy.
Romney beats Gingrich by 16%. I'm not sure if that means trustworthy in a business or a personal (or both) sense. That'd seem to be a big difference. Mitt has flip-flopped a lot, but seems to be a man of great constancy in his personal life.
p. Electability.
This is still the key question, and Mitt beats Newt by 14%. Further, by 8% voters want electability more than someone who shares their values.
q. The Economy.
Romney leads Gingrich by 17%; so on the biggest two questions, Mitt still retains the lead.