A new Monmouth University poll of New Jersey shows Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney among likely voters, 50%-42%.
As usual, Obama's advantage jumps among registered voters, with whom he leads, 51%-38%.
a. Enthusiasm is even.
53% of Republicans say they're more enthusiastic than usual about voting, while 51% of Democrats say the same.
That's much closer than 2008 when 66% of Dems said they were more enthusiastic about voting than usual, while only 39% of Republicans said the same.
b. Obama leads on the economy, 46%-37%, with registered voters and 44%-42% with likely voters.
That's a sign that Mitt really has no shot in Jersey. Running behind with both groups in a state that's already blue is too tough.
c. Obama leads on being a strong leader, 45%-26%.
d. Obama leads on caring about people, 51%-20%.
e. Obama and Christie Christie have nearly identical favorables.
The president is at 53%/34%, while Christie is at 52%/33%.
f. Indies back Obama, 44%-42%.
g. Christie's fav rating with independents is a stunningly good, 56%/28%.
The gist? Jersey's 14 electoral votes won't stray.
[Photo: White House, Pete Souza]