Tuesday, July 10, 2012

Obama 47% Romney 47% in new poll


A new Washington Post/ABC poll shows Barack Obama and Mitt Romney tied at 47%-47% among registered voters.

Here are the key internals:

a. Obama's supporters are more committed.

80% of the president's supporters say they'll "definitely" vote for him in November, while just 73% of Mitt Romney's supporters say the same thing about Romney.

Meanwhile, only 4% of Obama's supporters say there's "a good chance" they'll change their minds, while 12% of Romney's supporters say the same thing about Romney.

In other words, Obama's support is considerably more firm.

b. Obama's overall job approval is 47%/49% for -2%.

c. Obama's approval on the economy is 44%/54% for -10%.

d. Obama's approval on health care is 41%/52% for -9%.

e. Obama's approval on immigration is 38%/52%. Those are pretty bad numbers that might owe their suckiness to the president's immigration announcement.

f. Romney wins on the economy, 49%-44%.

g. Obama and Romney are tied on health care, 46%-45%, respectively.

h. Obama and Romney are tied on immigration, 45%-45%.

i. Romney (as usual) wins big on the deficit, 52%-42%.

j. Obama and Romney are tied on taxes, 46%-45%, respectively

k. Obama wins on understanding the economic problems, 50%-40%.

THAT'S a very significant result and pretty ironic, considering the same set of voters say they trust Romney more on the economy!

l. Obama beats Romney on leadership, 47%-42%.

m. Obama kills Romney on likability, 63%-27%.

n. Voters think Obama has a clearer plan for dealing with the economy than Romney, 43%/38%.

o. Opinion on ObamaCare is even at 47%-47%.

p. Health care is a bigger motivator for Romney fans. 38% say Mitt's call for repealing Obama is a "major reason to support" him, while only 26% say ObamaCare is a major reason to support the president.

q. By 40%/36%, voters think Romney did more to cut rather than create new jobs during his time at Bain.

r. Democrats made up 9% more of the sample than Republicans (33%-24%).