A couple polls for your afternoon.
We Ask America poll: Obama 49% Romney 43%
That's a nice lead for Obama, but here's the deceptive thing about it. He pulls in an astounding 26% of Republicans in the survey, while Romney only pulls in 11% of Dems.
It's hard to imagine the president winning 26% of Republicans on election day. I haven't seen any poll, anywhere suggesting those kind of numbers.
Further, indies support Romney, 49%-37%. If you combine that with a more realistic galvanization, you'd probably see the two candidates in a dead heat.
But We Ask America is an automated poll, so the usual caveats apply there -- even more so, with the weird base results.
Magellan poll: Obama 50% Romney 46%
The good news for Obama is that he cracks 50%. The good news for Romney is that his voters are more committed.
43% say they'll "definitely" support Romney, while only 40% say "definitely" Obama. If you apply the maxim that undecided voters break for challengers, then that's a pretty good sign for Romney.
We Ask America poll: Obama 49% Romney 42%
Again, good results for Obama, but they're partly based on what seems questionable -- in the poll, Obama pulls in 15% of Republicans, while Romney only picks up 7% of Democrats.
So as in WAA's poll of Nevada, you see Obama doing much, much better with Republicans than Romney with Democrats.
That's just not a phenomenon that's shown up in other polling.
[Photo credit: White House]