A new Mitchell Research poll of Michigan shows Mitt Romney with a 45%-44% lead over Barack Obama.
Some big stats:
a. Romney leads among independents, 44%-34%, which is a 5% jump from last month. That's not just a big lead, but it's a telling Indie Indictment of Obama that the incumbent can only snag 34% of the vote.
b. Romney has nearly tied Obama with women (-2%), and he's ahead among men (+5%).
c. Age. Here's something we've been seeing over and over. Obama leads among senior citizens (+5%), while Romney leads among those who are 40-59 years old (+10%).
In 2008, nationally, seniors voted for McCain, while the 34-55 bracket went for Obama. But this year, that tends to be reversed.
Overall: Yesterday, a Rasmussen poll showed Obama sporting a 6% lead over Romney, so make sure you imbibe this poll with that.
Nevertheless, Obama now just has a 45.5%-43.8% lead in the RCP average of Michigan polls. That means this state is in play.