Thursday, August 23, 2012

Gallup: Gender gap is even, hasn't changed

Crux of Gallup's new poll.

a. Women prefer Obama by 8%; men prefer Romney by 8%.

b. That hasn't changed in four months.

The poll covered voters on July 30-August 19, before the Akin affair broke onto every A1 in America.

Having said that, the pollsters are skeptical it will change much.

Gallup's large sample sizes show a remarkable stability by gender since tracking began in mid-April.

The gender gap is driven mostly by the underlying differences in party identification. Women are more likely to identify as Democrats and less likely to identify as independents than are men. Within party groups, gender gaps are quite small.