Today's ABC/Washington Post tracking poll shows Mitt Romney up over Barack Obama, 49%-48%, and as closely, the two campaigns' contact rates nearly precisely mirror one another's.
Looking just at reported contacts in the past week, the campaigns are equally matched: 28 percent of all likely voters in swing states say they’ve heard from the Romney campaign, and 27 percent say so of Obama’s.
Campaign contacts are highly correlated with voter preferences. All told, about two-thirds of those who have been contacted by the Obama side support the president’s bid for reelection, and a similar proportion of those who have heard from Romney back his candidacy.