Tuesday, October 30, 2012
Gallup releases a new survey showing Mitt Romney leading Barack Obama, 52%-45%, with the 15% of registered voters who've already voted.
Meanwhile, 17% of "Romney voters" have already voted while 15% of "Obama voters" have voted, and 19% of early voters are Republican and 15% Democratic, which suggests Romney is doing better with independents in early voting.
The candidates are tied among those who plan to vote before election day, and Romney holds a 6% advantage with those who say they'll vote on election day.
In other words, those are good numbers for Romney.
Having said that, remember that this isn't a national race -- it's a swing state race, and Obama has racked up big early voting leads in key states. For obvious reasons, neither candidate is particularly focused right now on turning out supporters in the Oklahoma and California's of the world.