Monday, October 22, 2012
A new Rasmussen poll gives Mitt Romney a 50%-46% lead over Barack Obama in Colorado. That's the first time Mitt has hit 50% in a Rasmussen poll of the state, although he's hit that number in other pollsters' surveys.
a. Romney is winning among early voters, 50%-49%.
b. Romney leads on the economy, 51%-44%.
c. Romney leads on national security, 51%-45%.
d. Men pick Romney by 12%, while women back Obama by 3%.
Despite Obama's lead with women, he's doing far worse than in 2008 when he won women by 15%. Can his singular focus on this demo bid them come home?
e. Romney's favorability rating is 52%/47%, while Obama's job approval rating is 48%/51%.
f. Romney leads among independents by 8%.
That's the big result. The GOP has a registration edge in Colorado, so if Romney is leading Obama among indies, it's lights out.
Now, some context: Romney leads by 0.2% in the state, according to the RCP average of polls, and that numbers grows if you exclude a survey from the left polling firm, Public Policy Polling, which shows Obama up 3%.
So public polling is starting to reflect the conventional wisdom that Romney is pulling ahead in Colorado.